Can Will Smith’s ‘Emancipation’ Be This Year’s ‘Million Dollar Baby’ Or ‘Last Samurai’?

Can Will Smith's slave actioner mimic 'Million Dollar Baby' (as the last-minute Oscar frontrunner) or 'The Last Samurai' (as a post-Thanksgiving theatrical hit)? https://www.forbes.com/sites/scottmendelson/2022/10/03/movies-box-office-oscars-emancipation-trailer-will-smith-tom-cruise-clint-eastwood/